Economic Forecasting Model

Section 10: Security, Ethics & Limitations

Encryption: At rest and in transit.

Access Control: Role-based access (RBAC) to sensitive indicators.

Audit Logs: Tracking all training and inference requests.

Probabilistic Nature: Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.

Human-in-the-loop: System results should complement, not replace, expert judgment.

Transparency: Avoiding "black-box" models by providing interpretable metrics.

Data Quality Sensitivity: Dependent on the accuracy of reporting agencies.

Unprecedented Shocks: Models may underperform during "Black Swan" events.

Contextual Ignorance: Quantitative models may miss qualitative geopolitical shifts.

Users are advised to use these tools for supporting research and strategy rather than automated high-stakes decision-making.